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A recent study conducted by MIT challenges the prevailing belief that artificial intelligence (AI) will replace a significant number of jobs. Titled “Beyond AI Exposure,” the study focuses on the cost-effectiveness of utilizing human labor over AI in various industries.
The MIT study reveals that AI remains more expensive than human labor in the majority of professions. Contrary to recent reports, the study suggests that human labor is still more cost-effective in most job roles within the United States.
The researchers specifically examined the feasibility of automation in computer vision tasks. They discovered that only 23% of the wages of workers involved in such tasks can be automated at the current cost.
The study comes amidst growing concerns about the potential impact of AI on employment. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), AI could potentially affect up to 40% of global jobs, with the possibility of reaching 60% in advanced countries.
A survey conducted by the World Economic Forum indicates that approximately 75% of companies expect to adopt generative AI, which could lead to job displacement. This trend follows the anticipated replacement of jobs by humanoid and industrial robots.
However, the MIT study suggests that the pace of job replacement by AI will be slower than anticipated. The researchers emphasize that AI’s ability to surpass human labor will depend on factors such as decreasing deployment costs and the utilization of larger-scale AI platforms.
The study concludes that the replacement of human labor with AI will be a gradual process rather than a sudden occurrence. It highlights the importance of clear and specific predictions about job displacement by AI, taking into account technical feasibility and economic practicality.
The MIT study provides evidence-based predictions about automation, addressing the limitations of existing AI exposure models. To assess the required performance in automation systems, the researchers conducted surveys targeting workers familiar with the tasks. They then developed a model to calculate the costs associated with achieving the desired performance and evaluated the economic feasibility of AI adoption.
The study underscores the need to understand the economic implications of AI adoption. While AI has the potential to impact jobs, the process will be gradual and dependent on factors such as cost savings and increased deployment scale.
It is essential to consider both technical feasibility and economic practicality when predicting job displacement by AI. The MIT study provides valuable insights into the cost-effectiveness of AI compared to human labor, offering a more nuanced understanding of the potential economic impact of AI adoption.
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