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In a recent book titled “Avoidable War,” Kevin Rudd, former Australian Prime Minister and current US-Australia envoy, emphasizes the urgent need for understanding and safety measures between the United States and China amidst escalating tensions. Drawing on his extensive diplomatic experience and insights into Xi Jinping’s leadership and China’s current situation, Rudd provides a comprehensive analysis of the US-China relationship.
Rudd, known for his fluency in Mandarin and numerous meetings with Xi Jinping, delves into the complexities of China to gain a deeper understanding of its unification journey and the significance of Taiwan. He highlights the potential for a Taiwan-centered conflict as the most serious and dangerous threat, surpassing even the ongoing Ukraine-Russia conflict in terms of potential casualties and international involvement.
However, Rudd emphasizes that while power competition is inevitable, war is not an absolute certainty. He calls for the establishment of boundaries and mutual understanding between the US and China to prevent misunderstandings and minor incidents from escalating into a full-scale conflict.
Rudd’s book serves as a timely warning about the risks of avoidable war in the current US-China conflict. He advocates for a balanced approach that prioritizes understanding, cooperation, and crisis prevention while allowing for healthy competition in diplomacy, economy, and security. Rudd’s insights and recommendations highlight the importance of a strong political framework to minimize the risks of crisis, conflict, and war.
As the US-China tensions continue to escalate, Kevin Rudd’s book provides valuable insights into the complexities of the relationship and underscores the need for a nuanced and cautious approach. By promoting understanding and cooperation while minimizing the risk of war, a balanced and peaceful resolution to the US-China conflict can be achieved.
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